Monday, September 04, 2006

Swedish Elections: Ugly, Ugly, Ugly

Never have so many people flung so much dirt in so little time. Well, if you don't count every other election held, like, ever.
But this year's Swedish parliamentary elections seem dirtier than previous Swedish elections, at the very least in recent times.

The dominating party in Sweden is the Social Democrats (SDP), who have been in government almost continuously since 1940 (they were in opposition only between 1991 - 1994 and 1976 - 1982). In recent years, the party have formed a minority one-party government, while being backed up by the Left Party and the Greens in parliament to form a voting majority.
The Swedish government's tepid response to the tsunami disaster in late 2004, when about 550 Swedes died, caused major outrage[1] and drew heavy criticisms from just about everyone; the investigations into the failings of the government on this issue are on-going as we speak...write. Several key officials in the government had to resign over it, including foreign minister Laila Freivalds and head of the Office of the Prime Minister Lars Danielsson (as recently as last week, with only a few weeks to go 'til the elections).

The Left party have concerns of their own, as they lost their charismatic party leader Gudrun Schyman, who, while controversial, also proved to be a voter magnet. And thenGreens are always balancing on the edge of the 4% threshold[2]. Some polls suggest the Left Party may fall under that 4% threshold as well. The Swedish left is in a bit of a bind, in other words.
The right-wing bloc, consisting of the Moderate Party, the Liberal People's Party, the Centre Party and the Christian Democrats, is thus eager to finally get back into government. If they ever had a chance of doing so, this year would be it. Although, the Christian Democrats are also precariously near that 4% threshold in recent polls, as they too lost a charismatic leader in Alf Svensson.
Polls so far suggest the two blocs are dead even, with the right-wing bloc occasionally ahead, and it seems this will be a race to the bitter end.
Oh, and as always there's a plethora of small parties, vying to get enough votes for seats in parliament. Right-wing extremists, BitTorrent leechers, former reality show stars, you name it. They all have a party.
The stage is set, time to get dirty!

First it turned out an SDP operative had been sending anonymous e-mails, ridiculing and making libellous comments about MP leader Fredrik Reinfeldt.
Then there was the spying scandal, where a member of the Christian Democrats attempted to infiltrate the SDP by posing as an activist (although doing so badly enough to get caught).
And now an operative with the Liberal Party has allegedly hacked into SDP computers, getting hold of data on, among other things, SDP election strategies, travel itineraries for the Prime Minister and security details of several government officials. The hackings have taken place over the span of a year. The scandal broke just this week, and Swedish papers are already drawing comparisons to Watergate.
What effect, if any, will this have on the outcome of the elections? I haven't a clue. Between now and September 17, all bets are off. Anything can happen. For all I know, given this apparent win-at-all-costs strategy everyone seems to be employing, the losing side may attempt a coup d'état on September 18.

Aah, Democracy. It truly brings out the best in us, doesn't it?

[1] To be fair, some of that outrage being politically motivated, though most of it being quite genuine.
[2] A party needs at least 4% of the nationwide popular vote (or 12% in one of the 29 electoral districts) to gain seats in the Swedish parliament; this is to avoid a multitude of small parties with only one or two seats that would make it difficult to form a government. Thus if your party wins more than 4% of the vote, you're apportioned a certain number of seats on the basis of your popular vote. If your party wins 3.9%, you get no seats at all.